Sports Betting Systems

Sports Betting Systems Average ratng: 3,7/5 8595 reviews

Other Types of Sports Betting Systems In the end, most systems boil down to fixed, variable, and proportionate systems like the Fibonacci, unit, and Oscar’s Grind. Fixed systems are simply systems where you place a fixed amount on each wager. Horse races are one of the most difficult sports in the world, predicting a race is almost impossible. But there is a system capable of providing predictions, results, and tips for horse racing betting fans. SPORTS BETTING SYSTEMS:DO THEY WORK? We’re all looking for that turnkey, magic pill solution in many aspects in life. We’d love to get rich quick and stop worrying about money, and we’d love.

Sports Betting Systems: Why a Systematic Approach Works Best

Researching sports betting strategy on the Internet is akin to dipping a cup into the Atlantic Ocean – millions of words of advice exist for people looking to gain an advantage when placing bets on sporting events. You’re just as likely to read bad advice as you are to find solid sports betting strategy, at least without some kind of guidance. Every gambler with a website or a Twitter account seems to have a unique sports betting system, some which work, some which don’t. How can you dig through the pages and pages of material written about sports gambling and find the nuggets of wisdom that will actually help you turn a profit? What should you look for in a good sports betting strategy? Broken down into its most basic parts, good sports betting strategy is defined as any system that improves your chances of beating the bookmaker.

Of course, there’s a huge difference between the number of strategies that claim to give you an edge against the sportsbooks and the number of systems that actually work. If you know anything about betting on sports, you understand that a 53% win rate is necessary to make any sort of profit, in order to overcome the impact of the bookmaker’s vigorish. Some gamblers will swear by wager manipulation methods, whereby they raise or lower their bets based on their past performance. Others trust Lady Luck, betting their heart with maybe a little analysis and handicapping thrown in.

The truth is the only way to create a profitable sports betting system is to find a way to consistently overcome the odds against the gambler. No amount of gut instinct or even pure sports knowledge is enough to beat the bookmakers, just like no amount of knowledge of the inner-workings of a slot machine will give you an edge against the machine’s theoretical payback percentage and random number generator. Betting on sports based on your emotions or even your extensive knowledge of a team or an athletic event cannot be considered a profitable system. The only way to consistently beat the books is by using a systematic approach to placing sports wagers.

  • Sports Betting While betting on sports is unquestionably a form of gambling that involves some degree of luck, there is also a significant skill element. Indeed, there are many skilled professional gamblers in.
  • Sports Betting System - A SET OF RULES a sports bettor uses that work to control the game between himself and the books, designed to eliminate bad bets where the book has a monetary advantage, control the cash flow going both in and out, limit the number and types of bets made, and guide the sports bettor to the games and lines that are most.

Systematic Approaches & Betting the Ponies

If you want to see systematic betting systems in action, head to your local horse racing venue. “Betting the ponies,” as they call it, requires a strict system of guidelines in order to win money, like any other type of sports gambling. The reason it’s suggested that you head to the horse racing track to watch these systems in action is because the systems used by successful horse racing bettors are much easier to physically see. If you hit the track a few hours before the races start, you’ll see plenty of gamblers watching the ponies and their practice runs, holding stopwatches to time a horse’s performance across different stretches of track, and even talking to racing staff if they can to get an inside edge.

Consider the difference between these types of bettors and those who show up right before race time and bet on the horse with the cutest name, or even pick a winner totally at random. Obviously, the gamblers that spend time researching the animals, timing their practice runs, and becoming familiar with jockeys and track conditions perform better than random gamblers. The same is true for betting on sports of any kind – create a system that gives you an actual advantage and you’re far more likely to succeed than a punter who bets based on his gut or the picks of a free tout service.

How a Systematic Approach Might Work

For starters, any systematic method for placing sports bets requires bankroll discipline and management. Once you’ve got your bankroll established and can stick to a set percentage of your total gambling budget per bet, it’s time to work out your own system for placing sports wagers.

Your system can really be just about anything you want it to be, as long as that system is based on a combination of research and line-shopping. For example, you might look into baseball stats and find out that Team A wins 78% of the time after any away game which included a rain delay. I made that stat up for effect, but it’s the kind of thing that advantage sports gamblers look for when creating their strategy, similar to the stopwatch tracking of horse racing bettors you can see at practice sessions. Combine your research with an ability to shop for the best possible odds and you’ve got yourself a systematic method for wagering on sports.

Betting

This system ensures that you bet only on those baseball games that offer you value. If you know that Team A is likely to win under the right circumstances, based on statistics and research, and you’ve been able to find a cheap line, you’re only wagering when the right conditions exist. Rather than firing off a wager on three or four baseball games a night based on your feelings about a team’s performance or the predictions of a free tout service, your system allows you to identify specific games that have a certain level of value. That’s why systematic approaches work; they provide the gambler a way to lay bets only when it is in his best interest to do so.

Realistically, you’re not likely to find a statistic like the example mentioned above; most likely, your margins will be slimmer and your advantage a little less obvious. But like the guys that hit the horse track early every morning to watch practice runs, the smart sports gambler only lays down money when he sees value, and only does so when his overarching bankroll strategy allows. A system-based approach to sports gambling works best because it works with the mathematics behind sports gambling and not against them.

Sports bettors are always on the lookout for the next great betting system. Betting on sports can prove to be a difficult task that requires lots and lots of time and research to make quality, winning picks. Finding a system that takes the hard work out of the equation is what most bettors will look for. That’s the problem, though. The harsh reality is; there is no easy or foolproof way to win at sports betting. Even if you come up with a solid betting system, you will still need to do your research to find that system. It could take hours; weeks or even years to come up with a betting system is proven to work. By the end of this article, you should have a better understanding of what betting systems are available and how they work. They are hundreds, if not thousands of systems that people tout all over the web trying to make a quick buck, so you need to know what a quality system looks like, but also what the principles that make the systems work are, so that you can look beyond systems.

Here are some of the methods that some successful bettors have credited for helping them to make smarter wagers. While none of these are proven, they can boost your confidence and awareness of what to do, and when to do it. Knowing what these mean and how to follow/implement them into your own systems will be key going forward.

Following Line Movements + Betting With or Against The Consensus Pick

One of the most commonly used methods for betting on sports is to follow the consensus. Using the consensus basically gives information on all the games available for wagering and which side of the bet is getting more action. The trends will show you in a percentage how many people are placing bets on a specific line. For example: If the game in question was the Eagles vs. Ravens, a betting trend would tell you exactly how many people have bet on each team. Let’s say 80% were betting on the Eagles to win and 20% on the Ravens.

If a team is getting a vast majority of the bets, the bookies will often adjust the lines to make it more in their favor for future bettors and to sway people to bet on the other team. This can lead to juicy lines that can be very valuable to sports bettors. You need to spend some time and have patience when waiting to see the consensus picks as you will be placing bets just hours or less before the game. You have to stay up on the lines and constantly pay attention to them as they can change at any given moment. The work will pay off, however, as you can almost always find a good bet if you’re patient and vigilant.

Only Betting Underdogs

A popular system that many top punters swear by is the act of only betting underdogs. This usually applies to moneyline bets, but can apply to any situation where you are winning more money than you put down. The idea here is that, over time, betting the underdogs will be more profitable thanks to the increased payouts and the added margin for error.

Betting the underdogs means you will get more money than if you were to bet money on the favorites, that much is simple. The edge here comes from volume, where the idea is that one underdog win at +300 odds is the same as three wins at even odds. Over time, you can lose more than you win and still come out profitable by betting the underdogs. The obvious catch is that the underdog has to win, which makes choosing your picks and finding the upset all that much more important.

Arbitrage Betting - Hedging Your Bets

This system is considered to be fool-proof but has a low return on your investment. The idea behind arbitrage betting is to place bets at two different bookies on the same game. The catch is, you will be placing bets on both sides of the game. Let’s say the Eagles are playing the Ravens again. The line is: Philadelphia Eagles (-7) vs. Baltimore Ravens (+7). This simply means the Eagles are favored by seven points. If you placed a bet on the Eagles, they are going to need to win by at least seven points for you to break even; eight points or more for the win.

Using the arbitrage system, you would place a bet on the Eagles at one online sportsbook, then a bet on the Ravens at another bookmaker. The concept is simple, but it’s how you execute this plan is what matters. The key is to find different odds at bookies that will mathematically make you a winner by placing a bet on both sides. If bookie A has a line that pays the favorite $180 and the dog $200. Bookie B has a line that pays the favorite only $150, but the dog pays out $250. You would then place a bet on the dog at bookie 2 and the favorite at bookie 1. You would be placing the same amount on each bet and would win money regardless of the outcome of the game.

Let’s say you had to place a $75 bet at bookie A to win the $180 on the favorite. At bookie B you need to place the same $75 to win with the dog. If the favorite wins at Bookie A, you would net a profit of $105. If the dog wins at bookie B, you would net a profit of $175. Your total wager for both bets is $150. If the favorite wins, you would lose the $75 wager at bookie B, but gain $180 at bookie A. By doing some simple math, we still earn a profit of $30 regardless of the outcome.

Sports

This is purely an example only used to demonstrate the method behind this madness. To effectively use the arbitrage betting system, you need to constantly shop for good lines at multiple bookies. It can be a sure thing if you pay close attention to the lines and trends of a game. But, it can also be time-consuming and show little rewards. There is software that you can purchase to take all the work out of your hands and alert you when good lines pop up, which makes the arbitrage system much more attractive.

Should I Be Paying For Picks?

There are many, so-called professional sports bettors who want to sell you their system for a one-time or monthly fee. You need to be wary of what you’re buying as most of the time it's a bunch of baloney. Usually, these wanna-be 'pros' simply give half of their bettors one side of the bet and the other half the other side of the bet. If you think you're going to be talking to 'Ace Rothstein' (fictional) or 'Jimmy The Greek', think again. While there are some good ones out there that have quite a bit of success with their predictions, they are the in the minority and weeding through the garbage is a bit of a hassle.

It’s best to formulate your own plan and go your own way with sports betting. That isn’t to say you shouldn’t be frequenting betting forums to pick on some good advice and maybe get a good line. But, doing the homework yourself and coming up with a solid system on your own, will be your best bet.

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